Ares Capital Corporation
ARCC 5.5Price and target zones价格与目标区间
What the company does公司做什么
A business development company (BDC) lends to mid-size private companies and passes almost all the interest to shareholders as dividends, paying no corporate tax as long as it distributes most of its income. Ares Capital is the largest BDC. It is externally managed by Ares Management.商业发展公司(BDC)把钱借给中型私营公司,并把几乎全部利息以股息形式发给股东;只要它把大部分收入分配出去,就不用交公司税。Ares Capital是最大的BDC。它由Ares Management外部管理。
Earns from营收来源 interest on senior secured loans to middle-market companies, plus income from equity stakes and an asset manager it owns.向中型市场公司发放的优先担保贷款的利息,外加它持有的股权和一家自有资产管理机构带来的收益。
Read the full description查看完整介绍
Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in growth capital, acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue financing, and leveraged buyout transactions of middle market companies. It also makes growth capital and general refinancing. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in sports, media & entertainment, industrials & business services, infrastructure & power, financial institution groups, software & technology, specialty healthcare, consumer, retail & services, energy and the basic and growth manufacturing, consumer products, health care products, and information technology service sectors. The fund will also consider investments in industries such as restaurants, retail, oil and gas, and technology sectors. It invests in the United States based companies. It focuses on investments in Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Southwest regions from its New York office, the Midwest region, from the Chicago office, and the Western region from the Los Angeles office. The fund typically invests between $30 million and $500 million, in companies with an EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million. It makes debt investments between $10 million and $100 million The fund invests through revolvers, first lien loans, warrants, unitranche structures, second lien loans, mezzanine debt, private high yield, junior capital, subordinated debt, and non-control preferred and common equity. The fund also selectively considers third-party-led senior and subordinated debt financings and opportunistically considers the purchase of stressed and discounted debt positions. The fund prefers to be an agent and/or lead the transactions in which it invests. The fund also seeks board representation in its portfolio companies.
Portfolio breakdown投资组合构成 share of portfolio fair value按投资组合公允价值的占比
This is the core of Ares Capital and the reason its income is steady. First-lien loans are repaid before any other creditor and are backed by collateral, so losses stay low through downturns. As the largest BDC, Ares can lead and hold deals other lenders cannot, which lets it fill this book with large, well-structured loans.这是 Ares Capital 的核心,也是其收入稳定的原因。第一留置权贷款先于任何其他债权人获得偿还,并有抵押物支撑,所以即便在经济下行期损失也很低。作为最大的 BDC,Ares 能牵头并持有别家吃不下的交易,从而用大额、结构良好的贷款填满这一组合。
Equity held next to the debt, so Ares shares in a borrower's growth instead of only collecting interest — the extra return that has lifted net asset value over time. Equity is riskier than the loans and moves with company results, but it is a small share of the book and spread across many names.与债权并行持有的股权,让 Ares 能分享借款方的成长,而不只是收利息——正是这部分额外回报,长期抬高了净资产值。股权比贷款风险更高,会随公司业绩波动,但它在整个组合中占比很小,并分散在众多标的上。
A finance business Ares owns outright, not a single loan. Ivy Hill manages credit funds and passes fees and income back to Ares — a steady earner that also gives it reach into smaller loans than it makes directly. Its value depends on the health of the funds it manages.这是 Ares 完全拥有的一家金融公司,而不是一笔单独的贷款。Ivy Hill 管理信贷基金,把管理费和收益回流给 Ares——一个稳定的赚钱来源,也让 Ares 触及比它直接放贷更小的贷款。它的价值取决于它所管理基金的健康状况。
Higher-yielding loans that sit further back in the repayment line, so they earn more interest in return for more risk if a borrower fails. A small, deliberate slice that lifts the overall yield.收益更高的贷款,排在偿还顺序更靠后的位置,因此在借款方违约时承担更多风险、换取更高利息。这是一小块有意为之的部分,用来提升整体收益率。
Still secured against collateral, but second in line behind the first-lien loans, so they pay a higher rate for the extra risk. Ares keeps this book small.同样以抵押物担保,但排在第一留置权贷款之后,因此为这份额外风险支付更高利率。Ares 把这块组合保持得很小。
A partnership through which Ares co-invests in large first-lien loans with another investor, taking the junior certificates — a higher yield in return for absorbing the first losses. It extends Ares' lending capacity without putting the whole loan on its own books.Ares 通过一个合资项目与另一位投资者共同投资大额第一留置权贷款,持有其中的次级凭证——用承担首损来换取更高收益。它扩大了 Ares 的放贷能力,又不必把整笔贷款放到自己账上。
Company facts公司资料
- Industry行业
- Asset Management
- Country国家
- United States
Investment thesis投资逻辑 from the watchlist来自关注列表
🔒 HOLD — DO NOT ADD. Coverage broke below 1.0x. Largest listed BDC.
What's working
- Dividend record intact: 100% base dividend, no supplementals, 68 straight stable-or-rising quarters
- Counter-evidence, not buried: spreads +20bp, fees +50bp, new money at 10.2% vs 8.3% exits
- Insiders bought with cash: CEO/President/CFO/COO + 2 directors all bought at $19.13-19.29, zero sales in 18mo (verified row-by-row per the RSU pitfall)
Red flags
- Coverage broke: Core NII $1.88 vs a $1.92 payout = 0.98x, and coverage has fallen in a straight line for ten quarters (1.21x→1.15x→1.04x×4→0.98x×2)
- NII quality is soft: GAAP NII reads $0.50 and looks covered — that is a capital-gains-incentive-fee credit with nothing actually payable, which inflates NII because the book is being marked down; derived $0.471 ties to management's $0.47 Core EPS. Gap filled by realised gains + $1.38/sh spillover management itself called a "bridge" (call-sourced, not in the 10-Q — softest input)
- Non-accruals rising 3 straight years and accelerating: 1.3→1.7→1.8→2.1→2.4%, Grade-2 assets +61% in 6mo, first lien 59% (BXSL 97.6%), PIK 15.8% of investment income against a 100%-cash dividend
- Fee drag — the largest number in the file: 2.54% of gross assets, 5.6% of NAV — in 1H26 Ares was paid $307M while shareholders earned $263M
- Cut risk under stress: −200bp + non-accruals to 5% → 0.83x, implying a ~17% cut (OBDC already cut 16%, Golub 15%) — a 2027+ risk; FOMC held 9–3 on 7/29 with all three dissents hawkish
Watch
- Valuation: FV $17.50-19.50 (NAV $19.35, P/NAV 0.99x). Add $16.50-17.75. Trim $20.30+ — = 1.05x NAV; dollar-form because the site derives multiple-trims off GAAP EPS, and for a BDC the denominator must be NAV. Re-set the 1.05x judgment at each
/analyze.
🔒 持有 — 不要加仓。 覆盖率已跌破 1.0x。 ** 最大的上市 BDC。 核心 NII $1.88 对应 $1.92 派息 = 0.98x,且覆盖率已连续 10 个季度直线下滑(1.21x→1.15x→1.04x×4→0.98x×2)。 GAAP NII 显示 $0.50、看起来是覆盖的 — 那是一笔实际上不需要支付的资本利得激励费抵免,它之所以推高 NII,恰恰是因为资产在被减记;推导出的 $0.471 与管理层公布的 Core EPS $0.47 完全吻合。 缺口由已实现收益 + $1.38/股的结转收益(spillover)填补,管理层自己称之为「过桥」(来自电话会议,不在 10-Q 中 — 全文最脆弱的输入)。 100% 基础股息、无补充派息,连续 68 个季度持平或上升。 不良资产连续 3 年上升且在加速:1.3→1.7→1.8→2.1→2.4%,二级评级资产 6 个月内 +61%,第一留置权仅占 59%(BXSL 为 97.6%),PIK 占投资收入 15.8%,而股息是 100% 现金支付。 费用拖累是全文最大的数字:占总资产 2.54%,占 NAV 5.6% — 2026 上半年 Ares 拿到 $307M,而股东只赚到 $263M。 ** 压力测试:−200bp 且不良升至 5% → 0.83x,意味着约 17% 的减派(OBDC 已减 16%,Golub 减 15%)— 属 2027 年以后的风险;7/29 FOMC 以 9–3 维持不变,且三张反对票全部偏鹰。 反面证据,不予掩盖:利差 +20bp,费用 +50bp,新投放收益率 10.2% 对应退出的 8.3%,且 CEO/总裁/CFO/COO + 2 名董事全部以现金在 $19.13-19.29 买入,18 个月内零卖出(已按 RSU 陷阱逐行核实)。 合理估值 $17.50-19.50(NAV $19.35,P/NAV 0.99x)。 加仓区间 $16.50-17.75。 $20.30+ 减仓(= 1.05x NAV)。
Historical results历史业绩 past fiscal years — these values do not change过去财年——这些数值不会变动
Profit margins利润率 the share of revenue that stays as profit营收中留存为利润的比例
of every $1 of revenue每 $1 营收中的占比
- Return on equity净资产收益率
- 7%
- Revenue growth营收增长
- +3%
- Dividend yield股息率
- 10.00%
Competitors竞争对手
Why customers stay客户为什么留下
Scale. As the biggest BDC it can lead and hold deals others cannot, sees the most deal flow, borrows cheaply, and has a long record of low bad loans through cycles.规模。作为最大的BDC,它能牵头并持有别家吃不下的交易,看到最多的交易机会,借钱成本低,并且有着穿越多个周期、坏账率很低的长期记录。
Related companies相关公司 🟠 BDC / credit
Rate cuts compress NII; spread widening erodes NAV.
MAIN is the quality anchor — its intact coverage is the reason.
Recent news近期新闻 last 7 days近7天
- Ares BDC moves 5 borrowers to non-accrual in Q2, led by AmeriVetPitchbook
- Ares Private-Credit Fund Reports Rising Defaults, and New DealsThe Wall Street Journal
- Ares Capital's Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Market StrengthZacks
- Ares Capital Just Extended Its Dividend Streak to 17 Years -- Here's What Its Latest Earnings ShowMotley Fool
- ARCC Stock Dips as Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates & Expenses Rise Y/YZacks
- What a Credit Downturn Would Do to Ares Capital's Big DividendMotley Fool