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Applied Materials, Inc.

AMAT 6.5

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 384.1B market cap · site

Price and target zones价格与目标区间

Near the buy zone接近买入区间

$484.05
$300–350 entry买入52wk52周 $203–$740-35% off the high距高点

What the company does公司做什么

Applied Materials builds the machines that add, remove and shape the material layers on a silicon wafer. It is the largest chip-equipment company by revenue. KLA inspects the wafer; Applied Materials changes it.Applied Materials制造在硅晶圆上添加、去除和塑形各层材料的机器。按收入算,它是最大的芯片设备公司。KLA检查晶圆,而Applied Materials改变晶圆。

Earns from营收来源 machine sales to chip factories, plus a large service and spare-parts business that earns for as long as the machine runs.来自卖给芯片工厂的机器,加上一块很大的服务和备件业务,只要机器还在运转就一直在赚钱。

Read the full description查看完整介绍

Applied Materials, Inc. provides materials engineering solutions, equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor and related industries in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS) segments. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment to enable materials engineering steps, including etch, rapid thermal processing, deposition, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, wafer packaging, and ion implantation. The AGS segment offers integrated solutions to optimize equipment and fab performance and productivity comprising spares, upgrades, services, and 200 millimeter and other equipment and factory automation software for semiconductor and other products. It serves manufacturers of semiconductor wafers and chips, and other electronic devices. Applied Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Revenue breakdown营收构成 share of revenue营收占比

73%Semiconductor Systems半导体设备
23%Applied Global Services应用全球服务
4%Display显示屏
Pick a slice for detail点击某一部分查看详情
Semiconductor Systems半导体设备73% · ~$20.8B

This segment builds the machines that construct a chip layer by layer. The tools add material to a wafer, remove material in a set pattern, change how the silicon conducts, and polish the wafer flat between steps. Chip makers buy this equipment for new factories and for major process changes, so orders rise and fall with global factory investment, especially spending tied to AI, advanced logic, and memory chips.该部门制造用于逐层构建芯片的设备。这些设备为晶圆添加材料、按既定图案去除材料、改变硅的导电方式,并在各工序之间将晶圆抛光平整。芯片制造商在新建工厂或进行重大工艺变更时采购这些设备,因此订单随全球工厂投资起伏,尤其是与人工智能、先进逻辑芯片和存储芯片相关的支出。

  • Deposition沉积 — Adds a layer of metal or insulator a few atoms thick across the whole wafer.在整片晶圆上加一层只有几个原子厚的金属或绝缘体。
  • Etch刻蚀 — Removes material in an exact pattern to cut the shapes of the circuit.按精确的图案去除材料,刻出电路的形状。
  • Ion implantation离子注入 — Fires ions into the silicon to change how it conducts. Applied Materials has long led this step.把离子射入硅中,改变它的导电方式。应用材料长期在这道工序上领先。
  • Chemical mechanical planarisation化学机械平坦化 — Polishes the wafer flat between layers, because the next layer cannot print on an uneven surface.在层与层之间把晶圆抛光磨平,因为下一层无法印在不平的表面上。
Applied Global Services应用全球服务23% · ~$6.4B

This segment keeps the installed base of chip-making tools running. It sells service contracts, spare parts, and refurbished equipment to factories that already own Applied Materials tools. Because a factory keeps a tool in use for many years, this revenue repeats each year, and it falls less than new-machine sales during a chip-industry downturn.该部门负责维护已安装的芯片制造设备正常运行。它向已拥有应用材料设备的工厂出售服务合同、备件和翻新设备。由于工厂会长期使用同一台设备,这部分收入每年重复产生,在芯片行业下行期的降幅也小于新设备销售收入。

Display显示屏4% · ~$1.1B

This segment builds the equipment that makes display panels for televisions, phones, and other screens. The tools deposit and pattern the material layers that form each pixel on the panel. Panel makers buy this equipment when they build a new plant or add capacity, so orders move with the display industry's own investment cycle, separate from the chip industry.该部门制造用于生产电视、手机及其他屏幕面板的设备。这些设备沉积并图案化构成每个像素的材料层。面板制造商仅在新建工厂或扩大产能时才采购此类设备,因此订单随面板行业自身的投资周期起伏,与芯片行业周期不同。

Company facts公司资料

Founded成立时间
1967
Headquarters总部
Santa Clara, California
Employees员工人数
38,900
Industry行业
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Country国家
United States

Investment thesis投资逻辑 from the watchlist来自关注列表

👀 Analyzed 7/29 — the drawdown did NOT create the entry. −38.9% off high but still +151% over 52wks and 23% above its 200-DMA; at 42.5x trailing / 37.4x FY26 non-GAAP / 67.6x FCF vs its own 14-29x historical band (~20-22x avg) — roughly 2x its average multiple after a 39% crash. Q2 GAAP $3.51 vs non-GAAP $2.86.

What's working

  • Fortress: net cash, 18% D/A, ~30x coverage, 49.9% GM (best in 25yrs), AGS annuity ($7.1B backlog = all of Semi Systems, >90% renewal)
  • Supply-constrained, not demand-constrained — every peer guided UP, no forecaster sees a 2027 WFE contraction; the −39% is ~100% multiple de-rating, 0% earnings revision. Burry short is real but unverifiable (no 13F — Scion deregistered) and a technical call, not the accounting thesis. FV $290-370. Entry $300-350, strong <$270. Trim/avoid >$420. ⭐ Watch 8/13 — a GAAP "miss" from the BESI mark on a quarter that grew ~23% would be the mispricing.

Red flags

  • FCF/share peaked FY23 at $8.99, now $6.69 — 3 straight down years; capex doubled to $2.65B
  • ROIC 44%→~33% (invested capital +72%, op income +6.6%) — and Moat independently found AMAT lost served-market share in 2025 while LRCX/KLAC/ASML all gained. Process control 9.8% vs KLA's 73.8%; ion-implant precedent >75%→<60%
  • Insiders sold ~$157M, bought $0 — CEO Dickerson sold $105M at $590-736 (incl. the 6/30 top) after buying $6.9M at $137; buybacks cut ~70%

❌ 入场区间 $300-350 现在比现价低 56%。 ** 32.1x 前瞻市盈率。 等 8/13 财报** —— 在一个增长约 23% 的季度里,因 BESI 持股按市值计价而出现的 GAAP「不及预期」,仍然是值得关注的错误定价。

Historical results历史业绩 past fiscal years — these values do not change过去财年——这些数值不会变动

Profit margins利润率 the share of revenue that stays as profit营收中留存为利润的比例

Gross profit毛利润
49%
Operating profit营业利润
34%
Net profit净利润
30%

of every $1 of revenue每 $1 营收中的占比

Return on equity净资产收益率
41%
Revenue growth营收增长
+25%
Dividend yield股息率
0.44%

Competitors竞争对手

Lam ResearchTokyo ElectronASMLKLA

Why customers stay客户为什么留下

A chip factory qualifies each machine for months before use, so the factory rarely changes supplier for a proven step. The service business then earns for a decade. The weakness is that Applied Materials competes in more steps than it leads.一家芯片工厂在使用前要花好几个月来验证每一台机器,所以对于一个已经验证过的工序,工厂很少更换供应商。之后的服务业务能赚上十年。它的弱点在于,Applied Materials参与竞争的工序比它领先的工序要多。

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Datacenter buildout pace. SOX −28.6% (peak 6/22 → 7/29), $3.3T of sector cap gone in 5 weeks — every name fell regardless of its own results.

Size the bucket, not the name. (ORCL's own analysis says this.)

Recent news近期新闻 last 7 days近7天

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