| ADBE |
6.5 |
$253.81 |
|
👀 On Deck, gated on the CEO appointment. 🔻 FV cut $380-460 → $290-360; moat 7.5 → 6.0.🔻 8/04 分析 —— 下调评级 [7.5] → [6.5],合理价值 $380-460 → $290-360,从「累积买入」降为「观察」。 |
| ADI |
7 |
$366.30 |
|
👀 🔴 Analyzed 7/29 — quality confirmed, price not. Business 8/10, entry 3/10.🔴 比 $280 的合理价值中值高约 35%。 |
| PTC |
7 |
$127.51 |
|
👀 On deck @ $115. 84% GM, op margin 25.5%→36.4%, ROE 43%, new $2B buyback thru FY28.15.7x 前瞻市盈率,目标价 $173.35,合理价值 $145-165。$115 的加仓位仍然很远。 |
| INTU |
7 |
$319.97 |
|
👀 On Deck — IN ZONE, gated on the 8/25 print. Entry $300-345 strong buy <$280.🆕 8/04 首次完整分析 —— 有史以来第一份文件,也是第一次给出信心评分 [7.0],评级「累积买入」。 |
| RBRK |
— |
$71.45 |
|
👀 Back into $70-80 add — but 110x fwd. Add only as a cyber swap. Trim $103+.已到 $70-80 的上沿,即将离开区间。122.7x 前瞻市盈率;网络安全板块已有 4 只持仓。只做置换,不做加仓。 |
| SNPS |
6 |
$383.82 |
|
👀 NOT — exited May 2026; prior tag was stale.🔴 加仓区间 $310-335;现价高出约 19%。等 8/26 财报(需要设计 IP 利润率 >28% 且环比增长)。 |
| MAIN |
7.5 |
$55.32 |
|
👀 Just above $50-54. Premium internally-managed BDC — the quality anchor.$50-54。又跑远了。 |
| AMAT |
6.5 |
$452.11 |
|
👀 Analyzed 7/29 — the drawdown did NOT create the entry.❌ 入场区间 $300-350 现在比现价低 56%。 32.1x 前瞻市盈率。 |
| ORCL |
7 |
$119.96 |
|
👀 Approaching $110-115 stage.❌ $110-115 的建仓位现在比现价低 24%。 |
| CTSH |
6.5 |
$50.31 |
|
👀 ⚠️ Earnings 7/29. 8.1x fwd, 2.81% yield (~2x 5yr avg), 12.7% FCF yield, near-zero debt, $2B buyback.👀 ⚠️ 7/29 财报。 8.1x 前瞻,2.81% 股息率(~2x 5 年均值),12.7% 自由现金流收益率,近乎零负债,$2B 回购。 |
| FISV |
5.5 |
$54.21 |
|
👀 ⚠️ Earnings 8/6 — binary. 6.1x fwd, −62% off high.⚠️ 8/6 财报 —— 二元结果,而且它完全没有参与这轮上涨。 6.1x 前瞻市盈率,距高点 −61%,目标价 $66.63。 |
| NXPI |
5 |
$240.98 |
|
👀 🔴 Analyzed 7/29.🔴 合理价值 $200-235;现价处于上沿。等 Q1'27 营收(>$3,900M = 真正的拐点;$3,600-3,700M = 同一部老电影)。 |
| TCEHY |
7.5 |
$57.75 |
|
👀 Approaching the low-$50s add. The quality anchor of the sleeve.$50 出头加仓。12.2x 前瞻市盈率,目标价 $97.91(+55.7%)。⚠️ 请用 0700.HK 执行,不要用流动性稀薄的 ADR。 |