⭐ ANALYZED 8/04 — IN ZONE $150-180, re-opened. The "zone exited" call was made against a pre-FY26 fair value.⭐ 在这个把其他一切都推走的星期里守住了买入区间——它是清单上处于买入范围内信心最高的名字。
Actions for today今日操作
In the buy zone在买入区间内 the price is inside the entry range价格处于买入区间之内
$150–180 entry买入in zone在区间$253.53 trim减仓
Income — Yield Tomorrow未来收益
analyzed分析于 2026-08-04
$360–420 entry买入in zone在区间$520.44 trim减仓
⭐ IN ZONE $360-420 — top edge, final day(s). +12.4% since 7/29. 21.4x fwd, tgt $527.88 (+26.8%). Only −2.8% in 14 days while the sleeve cratered.⚠️ 整周唯一没有动的候选名单成员——它已经连续三次扫描停在区间上沿,而其中两次被称作「在区间里的最后一两天」。
AI & Infrastructure CapexAI 与基础设施资本开支
analyzed分析于 2026-06-12
$115–135 entry买入in zone在区间$183.45 trim减仓
⭐ IN ZONE $115-135. Cleared-triggers defense compounder; preferred over BAH.🔻 8/04 的判断——「今天三份财报里最值得行动的一个」——是对的,然后它就涨走了。
Evergreen Compounders长期复利公司
analyzed分析于 2026-08-04
below低于 $95 entry买入in zone在区间
⭐ IN ZONE ≤$95 — ANALYZED 8/04, first file ever. Passes this sleeve's test cleanly: a specific fixable problem with a date.⭐ 守住了买入区间,连续第二次扫描在区间内。 8.26x 前瞻市盈率,较高点低 39.4%,目标价 $104.80(+15.0%)。 8/04 已分析,首份文件。
Re-Rating Plays价值重估机会
analyzed分析于 2026-08-04
$30–36 entry买入in zone在区间
⭐ IN ZONE $30-36 — ANALYZED 8/11, first file ever. ACCUMULATE.⭐ 在 $30-36 买入区间内 — 8/11 已分析,史上第一份文件。 ACCUMULATE(逐步买入)。 Genpact,业务流程外包与数据/AI 服务。
Re-Rating Plays价值重估机会
analyzed分析于 2026-08-11
Market regime市场状况 ⚠️ Market regime (8/11) — the index did nothing and the tape did everything.⚠️ 市场环境(8/11)—— 指数纹丝不动,个股天翻地覆。
⚠️ Market regime (8/11) — the index did nothing and the tape did everything. SPY $770.33 vs $770.24 on 8/04 — flat to within one basis point over five sessions, while individual names on this list moved between −27% and +34%. VIX 16.19 → 15.36. SOX 12,166 → 12,051 (−0.9%). An index-level read of this week says nothing happened; at the name level it was the most eventful week of the last three. Do not read a quiet index as a quiet market. 🔴 RATES STILL HAVE NOT PARTICIPAT…
⚠️ 市场环境(8/11)—— 指数纹丝不动,个股天翻地覆。 SPY $770.33,相比 8/04 的 $770.24——五个交易日内持平到只差一个基点,而这份清单上的个股波动区间是 −27% 到 +34%。 VIX 16.19 → 15.36。 SOX 12,166 → 12,051(−0.9%)。 从指数层面看,这一周什么都没发生;从个股层面看,这是最近三周里事件最密集的一周。 不要把安静的指数读成安静的市场。 🔴 利率仍然没有参与,也仍然没有落定。 10 年期国债 4.68%,距 8/04 只差两个基点,7/29 FOMC 以 9–3 维持不变、三张反对票全部偏鹰之后,9 月加息概率没有变化。 利率久期板块又一次颗粒无收(O −5.6%、VICI −1.0%、ARCC +4.3%、NLCP +0.7%)。 任何建立在 2026 年降息假设上的判断仍然需要重新检查。 🔻 连续第四次扫描出现候选名单未执行就跑掉的情况——但这是第一次大多数没有跑掉。 META <…
Above the sell price高于卖出价 not yet sold尚未卖出
| PANW | $319.00 | ✂️ Above trim $230+. Platform-consolidation thesis intact. Add $155-168.继续持有。 距高点仅 −2.3%。 87.3x 前瞻市盈率,目标价低于现价 6.5%。 |
| CRWD | $181.80 | ✂️ Above trim $140+ (split-adj; 4-for-1 Jul 2 2026). Add $95-105.继续持有。 板块龙头;需要非常大的跌幅才会抹掉收益。 133.8x 前瞻市盈率,目标价低于现价 7.6%。 |
| RBRK | $96.17 | ✂️ ❌ $70-80 add zone blown by 20%, and Trim $103+ is 7% away.✂️ ❌ 买入区间已被击穿,而 减持 $103+ 只差 7%。 |
| MU | $892.67 | 🔴 ✂️ TRIM NOW / EXIT — analyzed 8/04, first file ever.🔴 [4.0] 8/04 分析 — 确认减持/清仓,而且是在充分肯定多头理由之后得出的结论,不是无视它。 |
| INTC | $100.45 | 🔴 ✂️ TRIM 30-40% of Beta. FV $55-85 — spot is above the top.[4.5] 合理价值 $55-85;现价已高于这个区间的上沿。 |
| SANM | $172.43 | ✂️ Trim window closing.✂️ 减仓窗口正在关闭。 |
| PLAB | $32.69 | ✂️ ENTERING THE $33-36 TRIM/EXIT BAND — and the ~8/26 gate is 15 days out.✂️ 正在进入 $33-36 减持/退出区间——而约 8/26 的检验点只剩 15 天。 |
Events in the next 21 days未来21天的事件 company reports that test a thesis会检验投资逻辑的公司财报
- AMAT👀 Analyzed 7/29 — the drawdown did NOT create the entry.❌ 入场区间 $300-350 现在比现价低 56%。 32.1x 前瞻市盈率。
- ADI👀 🔴 Analyzed 7/29 — quality confirmed, price not. Business 8/10, entry 3/10.🔴 比 $280 的合理价值中值高约 35%。
- SNPS👀 NOT — exited May 2026; prior tag was stale.🔴 加仓区间 $310-335;现价高出约 19%。 等 8/26 财报(需要设计 IP 利润率 >28% 且环比增长)。
- PLAB✂️ ENTERING THE $33-36 TRIM/EXIT BAND — and the ~8/26 gate is 15 days out.✂️ 正在进入 $33-36 减持/退出区间——而约 8/26 的检验点只剩 15 天。
Near the buy zone接近买入区间 close to the entry range, or waiting for a report接近买入区间,或在等待一份报告
| ADBE | 6.5 | $253.81 | 👀 On Deck, gated on the CEO appointment. 🔻 FV cut $380-460 → $290-360; moat 7.5 → 6.0.🔻 8/04 分析 —— 下调评级 [7.5] → [6.5],合理价值 $380-460 → $290-360,从「累积买入」降为「观察」。 | |
| ADI | 7 | $366.30 | 👀 🔴 Analyzed 7/29 — quality confirmed, price not. Business 8/10, entry 3/10.🔴 比 $280 的合理价值中值高约 35%。 | |
| PTC | 7 | $127.51 | 👀 On deck @ $115. 84% GM, op margin 25.5%→36.4%, ROE 43%, new $2B buyback thru FY28.15.7x 前瞻市盈率,目标价 $173.35,合理价值 $145-165。 $115 的加仓位仍然很远。 | |
| INTU | 7 | $319.97 | 👀 On Deck — IN ZONE, gated on the 8/25 print. Entry $300-345 strong buy <$280.⏳ 8 月 25 日——还有 14 天。 仍然在 $300-345 区间内,靠近上沿。 | |
| SNPS | 6 | $383.82 | 👀 NOT — exited May 2026; prior tag was stale.🔴 加仓区间 $310-335;现价高出约 19%。 等 8/26 财报(需要设计 IP 利润率 >28% 且环比增长)。 | |
| MAIN | 7.5 | $55.32 | 👀 Just above $50-54. Premium internally-managed BDC — the quality anchor.$50-54。 又跑远了。 | |
| KT | 5.5 | $18.55 | 👀 ANALYZED 8/11 — first file ever.👀 8/11 已分析 — 史上第一份文件。 买入区间 $16.50-18.00,比现价低约 3%,而 Q2 财报可能在几天内就把它送到那里。 | |
| AMAT | 6.5 | $452.11 | 👀 Analyzed 7/29 — the drawdown did NOT create the entry.❌ 入场区间 $300-350 现在比现价低 56%。 32.1x 前瞻市盈率。 | |
| ORCL | 7 | $119.96 | 👀 Approaching $110-115 stage. Small hard-capped satellite. ✅ RPO/backlog: RPO $638B (+363%), OCI +93%.催化剂是真实的(Google Gemini 合作、$7B 国防合同、$400M CACI 合同、RPO $638B),但 FY27 自由现金流 −$23.7B → 约 −$50B 这一点没有改变。 | |
| LULU | 5 | $126.01 | 👀 ANALYZED 8/11 — first file ever. WATCH; entry $100-110 and the September print is the gate.👀 8/11 已分析 — 史上第一份文件。 观察(WATCH);买入区间 $100-110,9 月的财报是闸门。 | |
| DBX | 5 | $34.20 | 👀 ANALYZED 8/11. WATCH — a public LBO that works, already priced as though it does.👀 8/11 已分析。 观察(WATCH)— 一场行得通的公开市场 LBO,而市场已经按「它行得通」定好了价。 | |
| HONA | 5.5 | $156.47 | 👀 ANALYZED 8/06 — first file ever, the day it fell −23.2%.👀 2026-08-06 分析 —— 就在它下跌 −23.2% 的当天。 观望,暂时不要抄底。 | |
| CTSH | 6.5 | $50.31 | 👀 ⚠️ Earnings 7/29. 8.1x fwd, 2.81% yield (~2x 5yr avg), 12.7% FCF yield, near-zero debt, $2B buyback.👀 ⚠️ 7/29 财报。 8.1x 前瞻,2.81% 股息率(~2x 5 年均值),12.7% 自由现金流收益率,近乎零负债,$2B 回购。 | |
| FISV | 5.5 | $54.21 | 👀 ⚠️ Earnings 8/6 — binary. 6.1x fwd, −62% off high.⚠️ 8/6 财报 —— 二元结果,而且它完全没有参与这轮上涨。 6.1x 前瞻市盈率,距高点 −61%,目标价 $66.63。 | |
| FIS | 5 | $42.81 | 👀 🔴 ANALYZED 8/06 — first file ever. WATCH — no position.👀 🔴 8/06 分析完成 —— 史上第一份报告。 观察 —— 无仓位。 | |
| NXPI | 5 | $240.98 | 👀 🔴 Analyzed 7/29.🔴 合理价值 $200-235;现价处于上沿。 等 Q1'27 营收(>$3,900M = 真正的拐点;$3,600-3,700M = 同一部老电影)。 | |
| TCEHY | 7.5 | $57.75 | 👀 Approaching the low-$50s add. The quality anchor of the sleeve.$50 出头加仓。 12.2x 前瞻市盈率,目标价 $97.91(+55.7%)。 ⚠️ 请用 0700.HK 执行,不要用流动性稀薄的 ADR。 |